Ligue 1 fantasy: who to pick for Round 11
The list comes from two things: how much a player creates per 90 minutes (xG + xA) and how favourable his club's next match is. We know nothing about injuries or rotation — this is a hint, not a line-up.
Who to pick
Output per 90 minutes multiplied by the points his club is expected to take in the next match.
| Player | Club | Opponent | xG+xA per 90 | Club's chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lassine Sinayoko |  Paris FC | home to Angers | 1.07 | 79% | 0.89 |
| Casper Tengstedt |  Toulouse | away to Lens | 1.18 | 37% | 0.53 |
| Amine Gouiri |  Marseille | home to Le Mans | 0.80 | 59% | 0.52 |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia |  Paris Saint-Germain | away to Nice | 0.74 | 60% | 0.49 |
| Florian Thauvin |  Lens | home to Toulouse | 0.99 | 40% | 0.47 |
| Achraf Hakimi | Paris Saint-Germain | away to Nice | 0.70 | 60% | 0.46 |
| Kamory Doumbia |  Brest | away to Strasbourg | 0.71 | 57% | 0.45 |
| Désiré Doué | Paris Saint-Germain | away to Nice | 0.67 | 60% | 0.44 |
| Esteban Lepaul |  Rennes | away to Lorient | 1.18 | 28% | 0.42 |
| Paris Brunner |  Monaco | home to Auxerre | 0.70 | 51% | 0.42 |
| Ilan Kebbal | Paris FC | home to Angers | 0.49 | 79% | 0.41 |
| Loïs Openda |  Lyon | away to Lille | 0.82 | 41% | 0.41 |
Running hot
Scoring more than their chances are worth. Finishing like that rarely holds: they cost a lot and the return can drop.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Archer |  Auxerre | 6 | 3.49 | +2.5 |
| Amine Harit | Marseille | 3 | 0.63 | +2.4 |
| Amine Gouiri | Marseille | 6 | 4.39 | +1.6 |
| Gessime Yassine |  Strasbourg | 4 | 2.57 | +1.4 |
| Lassine Sinayoko | Paris FC | 8 | 6.74 | +1.3 |
| Ferrán Torres | Paris Saint-Germain | 4 | 2.88 | +1.1 |
Owed goals
The chances are there, the goals are not. If the chance quality holds, the goals will probably come back — and they are cheap now.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louis Mafouta |  Le Mans | 4 | 6.22 | −2.2 |
| Loïs Openda | Lyon | 1 | 2.93 | −1.9 |
| Ludovic Blas | Rennes | 0 | 1.86 | −1.9 |
| Mousa Al Tamari | Rennes | 0 | 1.83 | −1.8 |
| Renaud Ripart |  Troyes | 1 | 2.42 | −1.4 |
| Dame Gueye | Le Mans | 1 | 2.36 | −1.4 |
Understat data, refreshed twice a day. We do not give betting tips and we do not know about injuries or suspensions — check the line-ups.
Who to pick in Ligue 1 fantasy for Round 11?
Top of our list: Lassine Sinayoko (Paris FC; opponent: Angers, home); Casper Tengstedt (Toulouse; opponent: Lens, away); Amine Gouiri (Marseille; opponent: Le Mans, home). The list is built from a player's output per 90 minutes and the strength of his club's next match; we do not know about injuries and rotation, so check them before choosing.
How is the Ligue 1 fantasy ranking calculated?
For each player we take xG and xA per 90 minutes (how much he creates and scores by chance quality) and multiply by his club's expected points in the next match divided by three. Players with at least 270 minutes are included: 75 right now. It is an assessment of play, not a forecast and not betting.
Who in Ligue 1 scores more than his chances are worth?
Cameron Archer (Auxerre) is furthest above xG: 6 goals from 3.5 xG, 2.5 more. Finishing like that usually does not hold all season, so paying a lot for such a player is risky.
Who in Ligue 1 has fewer goals than his chances are worth?
Louis Mafouta (Le Mans) is furthest below xG: 4 goals from 6.2 xG, 2.2 fewer. If the chance quality holds, goals usually move toward xG, but over a handful of matches that is no guarantee.