Augsburg vs Paderborn: match prediction

Augsburg

VS

Paderborn

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

Augsburg are favourites: 59% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: Augsburg should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.79. Augsburg are 1.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Augsburg	14	9	9	10.9	−1.9	2.15	2.35
Paderborn	13	9	10	9.4	+0.6	1.22	1.81

Recent matches

RasenBallsport Leipzig — Augsburg 5:2Augsburg — Freiburg 1:2Augsburg — Union Berlin 1:1Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3Augsburg — Bayern Munich 2:2

Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2Borussia M.Gladbach — Paderborn 0:0Paderborn — Hamburger SV 1:0Werder Bremen — Paderborn 2:2Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart 0:2

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions